Minnesota Lynx vs Las Vegas Aces Odds, Predictions & Player Props (Aug 21)
by Sascha Paruk in WNBA
Updated Aug 21, 2024 · 11:20 AM PDT
Jul 5, 2024; Los Angeles, California, USA; Las Vegas Aces center A’ja Wilson (22) reacts against the LA Sparks in the second half at Crypto.com Arena. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY SportsThe Minnesota Lynx visit the two-time defending WNBA-champion Las Vegas Aces on Wednesday nightThe Lynx have won and covered both games since the league returned from its Olympic break while the Aces are 1-1 SU and ATSSee the Minnesota Lynx vs Las Vegas Aces odds, predictions, and player-prop picks on August 21
The top-two teams in the Western Conference meet on Wednesday night when the Minnesota Lynx (19-8, 7-5 away) visit the Las Vegas Aces (17-9, 9-6 home) at Michelob ULTRA Arena at 6:30 pm PT/9:30 pm ET.
Though the Lynx are two games up on the Aces in the standings and already own a road win in Vegas this year, the Aces are big favorites on Wednesday night.
Minnesota Lynx vs Las Vegas Aces Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Lynx | +7 (-110) | +260 | O 167.5 (-108) |
| Las Vegas Aces | -7 (-110) | -326 | U 167.5 (-112) |
The Aces are currently seven-point home-court favorites and -325 on the moneyline. The Lynx come back as +260 road underdogs while the game total is sitting at 167.5.
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The Lynx have been the best under bet in the league all season, with a 9-16-2 over/under record and an average total of 156.8 PPG. The Aces are an even 13-13 O/U this year. They lead the league in scoring (87.8 PPG) and have the second-highest average total (170.2 PPG). Only Dallas Wings’ games average more points (172.6 PPG).
Las Vegas Aces Drop to Second-Favorites in WNBA Championship Odds
Sitting fourth in the overall standings – with the fifth-best point differential (+5.5 PPG) – the two-time defending-champion Aces have finally been supplanted as favorites in the 2024 WNBA championship odds. Sitting at +190, the Aces are trailing the league-leading New York Liberty (+125).
The Lynx are a distant third-favorite at +700 in what oddsmakers see as a two-horse race.
Las Vegas returned from the month-long Olympic break with a lackluster performance against the Liberty, falling 79-67 at home as 3.5-point favorites. Led by 34 points from A’ja Wilson (27.3 PPG, 12.0 RPG), the Aces got back in the win column last time out with a dominant 87-71 victory over the lowly LA Sparks. Wilson upped her season scoring average to 27.3 PPG in the process, head and shoulders above second-leading scorer Kahleah Copper (23.1 PPG).
Minnesota is 2-0 since the restart, but both wins came in a home-and-home against Washington Mystics (79-68 at home as 8.5-point favorites and 99-83 away as 4.5-point favorites). The 6-22 Mystics are tied for the worst record in the WNBA.
Leading scorer Napheesa Collier (20.3 PPG, 10.0 RPG) picked up where she left off, dropping 47 points with 16 rebounds across the two games.
LYNX vs ACES Player Props
| Player | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Three-Pointers Made |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A’ja Wilson (LV) | 26.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) | 11.5 (Ov -140 | Un +110) | OFF | OFF |
| Alanna Smith (MIN) | 10.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) | 6.5 (Ov +120 | Un -154) | OFF | OFF |
| Courtney Williams (MIN) | 10.5 (Ov +105 | Un -135) | OFF | 5.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | OFF |
| Jackie Young (LV) | 17.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) | OFF | 4.5 (Ov +114 | Un -145) | 2.5 (Ov +160 | Un -225) |
| Kayla McBride (MIN) | 15.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) | OFF | OFF | 2.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) |
| Kelsey Plum (LV) | 16.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | OFF | OFF | 2.5 (Ov -140 | Un -100) |
| Napheesa Collier (MIN) | 18.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) | 9.5 (Ov -130 | Un -100) | OFF | OFF |
The Lynx vs Aces player props list Wilson with a point total of 26.5, roughly one lower than her season average. Coller has the highest total among Minnesota players at 18.5 PPG.
Wilson, who sits second in the WNBA in rebounding, also has the highest total on the glass at 11.5 with the over favored at -140.
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Minnesota Lynx vs Las Vegas Aces Predictions & Picks
Only one team in the league has fewer ATS victories than the Aces, who are 10-16-0 against the spread this year. (Dallas is 8-19 ATS.) And now the defending champions are staring down another big spread against a very good team.
The Lynx have only lost three games all season by more than seven points, and their only previous trip to Vegas this year ended in a decisive 100-86 victory for the road team.
I expect Collier and company to keep Wednesday’s game competitive. But Wilson is still being undervalued with a point total of 26.5. She put up 29 and 28 in the first two against Minnesota this season and is averaging over 27.
MIN vs LV Picks
Lynx +7 (-1100Wilson over 26.5 points (-120)
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