2016-17 College Basketball Preseason Projected Standings & Win Totals
November 8, 2016 – by David Hess
We published our official 2016-2017 college basketball preseason ratings yesterday, which means we now have full 2016-17 college basketball preseason projected standings for all teams, including:
College Basketball Projected Conference Standings. Projected conference records and full regular season records, plus win odds for both the conference regular season title and the postseason tournament.Bracketology Projections. Odds to make the NCAA tournament, plus projected seeding, and lots more details. (One of our faves is the Bracketology By Conference page.)NCAA Tournament Bracket Predictions. Round by round advancement odds, including probability of a team making the Sweet 16, making the Final Four, or winning the championship
This is all data-driven, and automated, so it will update every day throughout the season.
At the bottom of this post you’ll find our full conference standings projections, along with projected regular season records, and each team’s odds of winning their conference regular season and conference tournament.
Projection Highlights
There’s a lot of info in the giant table below, but here are a few 2016-17 college basketball preseason projected standings highlights.
First, our projected winners for the major conferences:
American: Cincinnati (35.4%)ACC: Duke (45.3%)Big 12: Kansas (57.9%)Big East: Villanova (47.6%)Big Ten: Wisconsin (25.8%)Pac-12: Oregon (35.9%)SEC: Kentucky (46.4%)
To most of you, the biggest surprise on that list is probably Cincinnati. The Bearcats just snuck into the preseason Coaches Poll, but are unranked in the AP Poll, while AAC rival UConn is ranked 16th and 18th. However, our preseason rating model has the two teams almost identically rated. Despite the even ratings, Cincinnati is favored to win the conference title due to a slightly easier conference schedule.
Kansas being projected to win the Big 12, on the other hand, should come as a shock to no one. They’re one of 5 teams that we project with a better than 50% chance to take home a regular season conference title:
64.0% Princeton (Ivy)58.8% Wichita State (Missouri Valley)57.9% Kansas (Big 12)53.2% Valparaiso (Horizon)51.4% Florida Gulf Coast (Atlantic Sun)
On the other end of the spectrum is the MAC, where the favorite (Ohio) only has a 22.4% chance to win the regular season title, and six teams have at least an 8% chance at the crown.
2016-17 College Basketball Preseason Projected Standings
For a lot more info on any team, click their name to be taken to their season projections page (and once there, be sure to check out the Bracketology link in Overview section of the Team Menu at the top of the page). Or, check out our projections hubs listed above.
Need a refresher on what info you can find in our automated bracketology projections, and how we created them? Check out our original post Introducing Our New Algorithmic Bracketology Projections and our review of what’s in our NCAA tournament bracket prediction pages.
[Note: Overall regular season record projections account for only already-scheduled games, so will be missing some early season tournament games where opponents have yet to be determined.]
| 2016-2017 TeamRankings Preseason College Basketball Conference Projections | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| America East Projected Standings | Conference | Overall | Conference Odds | |||
| Team | W | L | W | L | Reg | Tourn |
| Vermont | 13.0 | 3.0 | 20.8 | 8.2 | 49.8% | 47.2% |
| Albany | 10.9 | 5.1 | 18.8 | 12.2 | 17.8% | 18.6% |
| Stony Brook | 10.5 | 5.5 | 17.0 | 11.0 | 14.8% | 16.2% |
| N Hampshire | 10.0 | 6.0 | 17.9 | 12.1 | 12.2% | 13.0% |
| Binghamton | 6.9 | 9.1 | 14.6 | 16.4 | 2.3% | 2.6% |
| Massachusetts Lowell | 6.2 | 9.8 | 12.5 | 18.5 | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Maryland BC | 6.0 | 10.0 | 11.7 | 17.3 | 1.3% | 1.6% |
| Hartford | 4.9 | 11.1 | 9.3 | 21.7 | 0.5% | 0.6% |
| Maine | 3.6 | 12.4 | 7.1 | 23.9 | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| American Projected Standings | Conference | Overall | Conference Odds | |||
| Team | W | L | W | L | Reg | Tourn |
| Cincinnati | 14.0 | 4.0 | 23.6 | 6.4 | 35.4% | 29.8% |
| Connecticut | 13.8 | 4.2 | 21.4 | 6.6 | 31.4% | 29.9% |
| S Methodist | 12.6 | 5.4 | 22.5 | 7.5 | 20.2% | 20.4% |
| Houston | 9.0 | 9.0 | 17.2 | 11.8 | 3.2% | 4.7% |
| Memphis | 8.9 | 9.1 | 17.1 | 12.9 | 2.7% | 4.1% |
| Temple | 8.3 | 9.7 | 15.4 | 14.6 | 2.0% | 3.4% |
| Central FL | 8.2 | 9.8 | 15.8 | 12.2 | 2.3% | 3.1% |
| Tulsa | 7.8 | 10.2 | 13.6 | 14.4 | 1.6% | 2.4% |
| E Carolina | 6.8 | 11.2 | 15.0 | 15.0 | 0.9% | 1.4% |
| Tulane | 5.0 | 13.0 | 10.0 | 18.0 | 0.1% | 0.4% |
| S Florida | 4.6 | 13.4 | 10.8 | 18.2 | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| Atlantic 10 Projected Standings | Conference | Overall | Conference Odds | |||
| Team | W | L | W | L | Reg | Tourn |
| VCU | 13.5 | 4.5 | 22.7 | 6.3 | 27.6% | 26.1% |
| Rhode Island | 13.1 | 4.9 | 21.5 | 7.5 | 24.7% | 20.5% |
| Dayton | 13.1 | 4.9 | 21.0 | 7.0 | 24.1% | 22.3% |
| Geo Wshgtn | 10.2 | 7.8 | 18.0 | 12.0 | 6.2% | 6.6% |
| Davidson | 9.7 | 8.3 | 14.9 | 12.1 | 4.7% | 6.2% |
| Richmond | 9.5 | 8.5 | 16.9 | 12.1 | 3.4% | 4.9% |
| St Bonavent | 9.4 | 8.6 | 17.4 | 12.6 | 3.3% | 4.3% |
| St Josephs | 8.8 | 9.2 | 14.3 | 13.7 | 2.7% | 3.3% |
| La Salle | 7.7 | 10.3 | 13.6 | 15.4 | 0.7% | 1.5% |
| U Mass | 6.9 | 11.1 | 14.4 | 16.6 | 0.8% | 1.1% |
| Fordham | 6.8 | 11.2 | 15.1 | 15.9 | 0.6% | 1.2% |
| Duquesne | 6.0 | 12.0 | 14.5 | 16.5 | 0.6% | 0.8% |
| Geo Mason | 5.9 | 12.1 | 12.3 | 16.7 | 0.4% | 0.7% |
| Saint Louis | 5.2 | 12.8 | 11.9 | 18.1 | 0.1% | 0.4% |
| ACC Projected Standings | Conference | Overall | Conference Odds | |||
| Team | W | L | W | L | Reg | Tourn |
| Duke | 15.0 | 3.0 | 26.2 | 3.8 | 45.3% | 40.1% |
| N Carolina | 12.4 | 5.6 | 23.0 | 7.0 | 14.0% | 14.3% |
| Syracuse | 11.8 | 6.2 | 23.1 | 7.9 | 10.3% | 9.2% |
| Louisville | 11.7 | 6.3 | 21.3 | 7.7 | 9.7% | 9.8% |
| Virginia | 11.6 | 6.4 | 20.4 | 8.6 | 9.6% | 10.3% |
| Clemson | 9.5 | 8.5 | 17.6 | 10.4 | 2.2% | 2.7% |
| NC State | 9.5 | 8.5 | 19.5 | 9.5 | 2.2% | 2.8% |
| VA Tech | 8.5 | 9.5 | 17.2 | 10.8 | 1.5% | 2.0% |
| Pittsburgh | 8.4 | 9.6 | 18.3 | 11.7 | 1.4% | 2.5% |
| Notre Dame | 8.3 | 9.7 | 17.7 | 12.3 | 1.4% | 1.6% |
| Miami (FL) | 8.3 | 9.7 | 17.3 | 10.7 | 1.5% | 2.2% |
| Florida St | 8.1 | 9.9 | 18.4 | 11.6 | 0.9% | 1.9% |
| Wake Forest | 5.8 | 12.2 | 12.3 | 15.7 | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| GA Tech | 4.2 | 13.8 | 13.2 | 17.8 | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Boston Col | 1.8 | 16.2 | 8.6 | 21.4 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Atlantic Sun Projected Standings | Conference | Overall | Conference Odds | |||
| Team | W | L | W | L | Reg | Tourn |
| Fla Gulf Cst | 10.8 | 3.2 | 20.4 | 9.6 | 51.4% | 47.9% |
| NJIT | 7.5 | 6.5 | 14.7 | 14.3 | 11.3% | 11.7% |
| N Florida | 7.1 | 6.9 | 14.4 | 16.6 | 8.8% | 9.3% |
| Jacksonville | 7.1 | 6.9 | 17.5 | 13.5 | 8.4% | 9.3% |
| Lipscomb | 7.0 | 7.0 | 14.9 | 16.1 | 8.3% | 8.8% |
| Stetson | 6.5 | 7.5 | 15.8 | 15.2 | 6.4% | 6.8% |
| SC Upstate | 5.5 | 8.5 | 14.2 | 16.8 | 3.9% | 4.2% |
| Kennesaw St | 4.4 | 9.6 | 10.6 | 19.4 | 1.4% | 2.0% |
| Big 12 Projected Standings | Conference | Overall | Conference Odds | |||
| Team | W | L | W | L | Reg | Tourn |
| Kansas | 14.8 | 3.2 | 25.1 | 4.9 | 57.9% | 44.7% |
| W Virginia | 11.0 | 7.0 | 21.9 | 8.1 | 12.5% | 13.8% |
| Texas | 9.6 | 8.4 | 19.0 | 11.0 | 6.8% | 8.5% |
| Baylor | 9.5 | 8.5 | 18.2 | 10.8 | 6.1% | 8.0% |
| Iowa State | 9.1 | 8.9 | 17.2 | 10.8 | 5.3% | 6.9% |
| Texas Tech | 8.5 | 9.5 | 19.4 | 10.6 | 4.0% | 5.5% |
| Oklahoma | 8.3 | 9.7 | 15.8 | 12.2 | 3.3% | 5.0% |
| Kansas St | 8.1 | 9.9 | 18.8 | 11.2 | 3.0% | 4.6% |
| Oklahoma St | 5.7 | 12.3 | 13.4 | 15.6 | 0.5% | 1.5% |
| TX Christian | 5.4 | 12.6 | 14.8 | 15.2 | 0.6% | 1.3% |
| Big East Projected Standings | Conference | Overall | Conference Odds | |||
| Team | W | L | W | L | Reg | Tourn |
| Villanova | 14.6 | 3.4 | 24.6 | 4.4 | 47.6% | 39.0% |
| Xavier | 13.0 | 5.0 | 22.4 | 6.6 | 24.6% | 23.4% |
| Butler | 10.7 | 7.3 | 19.4 | 9.6 | 8.3% | 9.8% |
| Creighton | 9.8 | 8.2 | 18.9 | 10.1 | 5.4% | 6.9% |
| Georgetown | 9.6 | 8.4 | 18.1 | 10.9 | 4.9% | 6.6% |
| Marquette | 9.6 | 8.4 | 18.3 | 10.7 | 4.3% | 6.3% |
| Seton Hall | 9.3 | 8.7 | 17.0 | 11.0 | 4.1% | 5.9% |
| Providence | 6.6 | 11.4 | 15.9 | 14.1 | 0.8% | 1.6% |
| St Johns | 4.4 | 13.6 | 11.1 | 17.9 | 0.1% | 0.4% |
| DePaul | 2.4 | 15.6 | 10.5 | 19.5 | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Big Sky Projected Standings | Conference | Overall | Conference Odds | |||
| Team | W | L | W | L | Reg | Tourn |
| Weber State | 13.5 | 4.5 | 18.3 | 7.7 | 34.3% | 31.1% |
| Montana | 12.7 | 5.3 | 17.9 | 11.1 | 25.3% | 22.8% |
| Idaho | 11.2 | 6.8 | 16.5 | 12.5 | 12.4% | 12.7% |
| North Dakota | 10.3 | 7.7 | 15.1 | 12.9 | 8.1% | 7.7% |
| Sac State | 9.6 | 8.4 | 15.0 | 14.0 | 4.9% | 5.8% |
| E Washingtn | 9.2 | 8.8 | 14.7 | 15.3 | 4.6% | 6.0% |
| Montana St | 8.9 | 9.1 | 15.6 | 15.4 | 4.5% | 5.8% |
| Idaho State | 8.2 | 9.8 | 12.7 | 17.3 | 2.8% | 4.6% |
| Portland St | 7.7 | 10.3 | 12.7 | 16.3 | 1.6% | 2.5% |
| N Colorado | 6.7 | 11.3 | 10.1 | 17.9 | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| S Utah | 5.0 | 13.0 | 8.4 | 22.6 | 0.2% | 0.5% |
| N Arizona | 5.0 | 13.0 | 8.0 | 22.0 | 0.3% | 0.5% |
| Big South Projected Standings | Conference | Overall | Conference Odds | |||
| Team | W | L | W | L | Reg | Tourn |
| Winthrop | 13.8 | 4.2 | 21.2 | 8.8 | 43.6% | 39.5% |
| NC-Asheville | 12.0 | 6.0 | 17.8 | 13.2 | 21.3% | 20.5% |
| High Point | 10.2 | 7.8 | 16.6 | 13.4 | 10.2% | 10.5% |
| Gard-Webb | 9.3 | 8.7 | 14.5 | 15.5 | 6.4% | 7.3% |
| Radford | 9.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 17.0 | 5.3% | 6.1% |
| Liberty | 8.8 | 9.2 | 14.9 | 16.1 | 5.4% | 5.9% |
| Charl South | 8.6 | 9.4 | 14.1 | 14.9 | 4.3% | 5.2% |
| Campbell | 7.2 | 10.8 | 13.2 | 16.8 | 2.0% | 2.7% |
| Longwood | 6.7 | 11.3 | 10.6 | 18.4 | 1.3% | 1.9% |
| Presbyterian | 4.3 | 13.7 | 7.5 | 21.5 | 0.3% | 0.5% |
| Big Ten Projected Standings | Conference | Overall | Conference Odds | |||
| Team | W | L | W | L | Reg | Tourn |
| Wisconsin | 13.3 | 4.7 | 22.7 | 6.3 | 25.8% | 22.9% |
| Michigan St | 12.5 | 5.5 | 21.3 | 7.7 | 19.4% | 18.0% |
| Indiana | 11.5 | 6.5 | 22.0 | 9.0 | 13.2% | 13.6% |
| Purdue | 11.5 | 6.5 | 21.3 | 8.7 | 12.0% | 12.3% |
| Michigan | 10.6 | 7.4 | 20.4 | 9.6 | 8.2% | 8.8% |
| Maryland | 10.5 | 7.5 | 20.7 | 9.3 | 7.4% | 6.7% |
| Ohio State | 10.0 | 8.0 | 20.6 | 10.4 | 5.9% | 6.8% |
| Iowa | 9.7 | 8.3 | 18.9 | 11.1 | 3.9% | 4.5% |
| Northwestern | 8.0 | 10.0 | 17.2 | 12.8 | 1.4% | 2.0% |
| Minnesota | 7.3 | 10.7 | 17.1 | 13.9 | 1.2% | 1.9% |
| Illinois | 7.1 | 10.9 | 15.5 | 14.5 | 1.0% | 1.4% |
| Penn State | 5.7 | 12.3 | 13.3 | 16.7 | 0.3% | 0.5% |
| Nebraska | 5.5 | 12.5 | 11.7 | 16.3 | 0.3% | 0.7% |
| Rutgers | 2.8 | 15.2 | 10.7 | 20.3 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Big West Projected Standings | Conference | Overall | Conference Odds | |||
| Team | W | L | W | L | Reg | Tourn |
| Lg Beach St | 10.9 | 5.1 | 16.2 | 14.8 | 29.4% | 28.5% |
| UC Irvine | 10.7 | 5.3 | 18.0 | 13.0 | 26.1% | 25.9% |
| UCSB | 9.3 | 6.7 | 15.1 | 12.9 | 15.2% | 16.8% |
| Hawaii | 8.7 | 7.3 | 15.5 | 11.5 | 11.1% | 0.0% |
| Cal St Nrdge | 7.4 | 8.6 | 12.6 | 14.4 | 6.1% | 8.3% |
| Cal Poly | 6.6 | 9.4 | 12.1 | 17.9 | 3.3% | 5.9% |
| CS Fullerton | 6.4 | 9.6 | 11.9 | 15.1 | 3.2% | 5.4% |
| UC Riverside | 6.2 | 9.8 | 11.4 | 16.6 | 3.2% | 5.0% |
| UC Davis | 5.8 | 10.2 | 11.3 | 17.7 | 2.3% | 4.2% |
| CAA Projected Standings | Conference | Overall | Conference Odds | |||
| Team | W | L | W | L | Reg | Tourn |
| NC-Wilmgton | 12.3 | 5.7 | 21.6 | 9.4 | 25.5% | 22.7% |
| Wm & Mary | 11.9 | 6.1 | 19.0 | 10.0 | 21.9% | 19.7% |
| James Mad | 11.2 | 6.8 | 20.8 | 10.2 | 15.3% | 15.6% |
| Col Charlestn | 10.7 | 7.3 | 17.9 | 11.1 | 13.8% | 13.2% |
| Hofstra | 9.8 | 8.2 | 17.0 | 12.0 | 9.0% | 9.6% |
| Elon | 9.1 | 8.9 | 17.0 | 14.0 | 6.2% | 7.6% |
| Towson | 8.9 | 9.1 | 16.1 | 13.9 | 5.7% | 6.8% |
| Northeastrn | 7.2 | 10.8 | 12.0 | 18.0 | 1.9% | 3.3% |
| Drexel | 4.8 | 13.2 | 10.0 | 21.0 | 0.4% | 1.0% |
| Delaware | 4.1 | 13.9 | 9.9 | 21.1 | 0.4% | 0.6% |
| CUSA Projected Standings | Conference | Overall | Conference Odds | |||
| Team | W | L | W | L | Reg | Tourn |
| UAB | 13.6 | 4.4 | 21.4 | 8.6 | 33.5% | 42.0% |
| Middle Tenn | 11.8 | 6.2 | 18.7 | 12.3 | 16.3% | 11.9% |
| W Kentucky | 11.6 | 6.4 | 18.9 | 11.1 | 14.6% | 12.7% |
| Old Dominion | 11.4 | 6.6 | 16.0 | 12.0 | 10.8% | 9.0% |
| LA Tech | 11.2 | 6.8 | 20.1 | 10.9 | 8.2% | 6.6% |
| Marshall | 9.6 | 8.4 | 16.1 | 14.9 | 6.0% | 6.0% |
| Charlotte | 8.7 | 9.3 | 13.3 | 15.7 | 2.3% | 3.0% |
| TX El Paso | 8.5 | 9.5 | 13.7 | 13.3 | 2.2% | 1.9% |
| Fla Atlantic | 7.8 | 10.2 | 13.4 | 15.6 | 1.5% | 1.7% |
| S Mississippi | 7.7 | 10.3 | 12.4 | 15.6 | 0.9% | 1.1% |
| Rice | 7.5 | 10.5 | 14.7 | 16.3 | 1.4% | 1.7% |
| North Texas | 7.4 | 10.6 | 14.8 | 15.2 | 1.4% | 1.5% |
| Florida Intl | 7.1 | 10.9 | 13.1 | 17.9 | 0.9% | 1.1% |
| TX-San Ant | 2.1 | 15.9 | 6.1 | 24.9 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Horizon League Projected Standings | Conference | Overall | Conference Odds | |||
| Team | W | L | W | L | Reg | Tourn |
| Valparaiso | 14.7 | 3.3 | 23.1 | 6.9 | 53.2% | 42.2% |
| WI-Grn Bay | 12.5 | 5.5 | 20.1 | 10.9 | 18.9% | 19.6% |
| Oakland | 12.0 | 6.0 | 19.6 | 9.4 | 15.7% | 16.8% |
| Cleveland St | 8.7 | 9.3 | 13.7 | 16.3 | 3.4% | 5.3% |
| Detroit | 8.5 | 9.5 | 13.0 | 17.0 | 2.6% | 4.6% |
| Wright State | 8.3 | 9.7 | 14.7 | 16.3 | 2.3% | 4.0% |
| Youngs St | 7.4 | 10.6 | 13.4 | 17.6 | 1.4% | 2.8% |
| WI-Milwkee | 7.2 | 10.8 | 11.8 | 19.2 | 1.4% | 2.6% |
| N Kentucky | 6.2 | 11.8 | 12.5 | 18.5 | 0.7% | 1.6% |
| IL-Chicago | 4.6 | 13.4 | 10.9 | 20.1 | 0.3% | 0.6% |
| Ivy Projected Standings | Conference | Overall | Conference Odds | |||
| Team | W | L | W | L | Reg | Tourn |
| Princeton | 11.9 | 2.1 | 21.6 | 5.4 | 64.0% | 54.4% |
| Harvard | 9.4 | 4.6 | 18.5 | 8.5 | 17.1% | 18.9% |
| Yale | 8.8 | 5.2 | 16.9 | 10.1 | 12.1% | 15.1% |
| Columbia | 6.2 | 7.8 | 13.3 | 13.7 | 3.0% | 4.1% |
| U Penn | 5.3 | 8.7 | 10.9 | 16.1 | 1.5% | 2.5% |
| Dartmouth | 5.2 | 8.8 | 11.6 | 15.4 | 1.0% | 2.2% |
| Cornell | 4.9 | 9.1 | 10.3 | 17.7 | 1.0% | 1.9% |
| Brown | 4.3 | 9.7 | 13.3 | 16.7 | 0.4% | 1.0% |
| MAAC Projected Standings | Conference | Overall | Conference Odds | |||
| Team | W | L | W | L | Reg | Tourn |
| Monmouth | 16.0 | 4.0 | 22.8 | 8.2 | 45.7% | 31.3% |
| Siena | 14.1 | 5.9 | 20.0 | 11.0 | 22.2% | 34.5% |
| Iona | 13.2 | 6.8 | 18.1 | 10.9 | 15.6% | 13.1% |
| St Peters | 11.2 | 8.8 | 16.8 | 13.2 | 6.8% | 7.0% |
| Rider | 9.4 | 10.6 | 14.7 | 16.3 | 2.6% | 3.4% |
| Fairfield | 9.3 | 10.7 | 13.9 | 15.1 | 2.2% | 3.2% |
| Manhattan | 8.8 | 11.2 | 12.9 | 18.1 | 1.9% | 2.6% |
| Canisius | 8.3 | 11.7 | 12.5 | 18.5 | 1.5% | 2.1% |
| Quinnipiac | 7.0 | 13.0 | 10.5 | 17.5 | 0.7% | 1.2% |
| Marist | 6.8 | 13.2 | 10.3 | 20.7 | 0.6% | 1.1% |
| Niagara | 5.9 | 14.1 | 9.7 | 21.3 | 0.2% | 0.6% |
| MAC Projected Standings | Conference | Overall | Conference Odds | |||
| Team | W | L | W | L | Reg | Tourn |
| Ohio | 12.2 | 5.8 | 20.4 | 8.6 | 22.4% | 18.9% |
| Akron | 11.7 | 6.3 | 19.4 | 9.6 | 19.5% | 16.6% |
| Toledo | 11.1 | 6.9 | 19.6 | 11.4 | 13.5% | 13.5% |
| Buffalo | 10.3 | 7.7 | 17.2 | 11.8 | 9.8% | 10.0% |
| Ball State | 10.0 | 8.0 | 19.4 | 11.6 | 8.6% | 9.6% |
| E Michigan | 9.6 | 8.4 | 16.8 | 13.2 | 8.3% | 9.2% |
| N Illinois | 9.3 | 8.7 | 18.2 | 12.8 | 6.9% | 6.8% |
| W Michigan | 8.6 | 9.4 | 13.6 | 14.4 | 5.1% | 6.4% |
| Central Mich | 8.2 | 9.8 | 15.5 | 15.5 | 3.2% | 4.5% |
| Bowling Grn | 6.5 | 11.5 | 13.6 | 17.4 | 1.4% | 2.2% |
| Kent State | 6.4 | 11.6 | 12.8 | 16.2 | 1.0% | 1.9% |
| Miami (OH) | 4.2 | 13.8 | 11.1 | 19.9 | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| MEAC Projected Standings | Conference | Overall | Conference Odds | |||
| Team | W | L | W | L | Reg | Tourn |
| Norfolk St | 10.7 | 5.3 | 15.4 | 13.6 | 23.0% | 19.6% |
| NC Central | 10.4 | 5.6 | 16.8 | 13.2 | 18.7% | 18.0% |
| Howard | 9.3 | 6.7 | 13.1 | 16.9 | 11.2% | 11.4% |
| Morgan St | 9.1 | 6.9 | 13.2 | 15.8 | 10.6% | 9.7% |
| S Car State | 8.9 | 7.1 | 11.5 | 17.5 | 8.7% | 10.0% |
| Hampton | 8.2 | 7.8 | 11.8 | 16.2 | 6.9% | 7.4% |
| Beth-Cook | 7.4 | 8.6 | 12.1 | 17.9 | 4.2% | 4.8% |
| NC A&T | 7.4 | 8.6 | 11.3 | 19.7 | 3.1% | 5.1% |
| Maryland ES | 7.1 | 8.9 | 10.5 | 19.5 | 3.1% | 4.5% |
| Delaware St | 7.0 | 9.0 | 10.5 | 20.5 | 3.3% | 4.1% |
| Savannah St | 6.9 | 9.1 | 9.7 | 18.3 | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Coppin State | 6.9 | 9.1 | 9.8 | 21.2 | 4.1% | 4.3% |
| Florida A&M | 4.6 | 11.4 | 7.9 | 21.1 | 0.5% | 1.0% |
| MVC Projected Standings | Conference | Overall | Conference Odds | |||
| Team | W | L | W | L | Reg | Tourn |
| Wichita St | 15.1 | 2.9 | 24.6 | 4.4 | 58.8% | 47.2% |
| N Iowa | 12.1 | 5.9 | 17.2 | 9.8 | 17.8% | 18.0% |
| Illinois St | 10.6 | 7.4 | 17.0 | 11.0 | 9.2% | 10.7% |
| Indiana St | 9.0 | 9.0 | 13.7 | 14.3 | 3.9% | 5.8% |
| Evansville | 8.9 | 9.1 | 17.2 | 13.8 | 3.7% | 5.6% |
| S Illinois | 8.7 | 9.3 | 16.3 | 14.7 | 3.0% | 5.1% |
| Loyola-Chi | 6.9 | 11.1 | 13.4 | 15.6 | 1.2% | 2.3% |
| Missouri St | 6.8 | 11.2 | 14.2 | 15.8 | 1.1% | 2.2% |
| Drake | 6.7 | 11.3 | 12.2 | 15.8 | 0.9% | 2.0% |
| Bradley | 5.2 | 12.8 | 10.0 | 19.0 | 0.4% | 1.0% |
| Mountain West Projected Standings | Conference | Overall | Conference Odds | |||
| Team | W | L | W | L | Reg | Tourn |
| San Diego St | 14.4 | 3.6 | 22.3 | 5.7 | 45.7% | 34.6% |
| Nevada | 12.8 | 5.2 | 20.6 | 8.4 | 22.7% | 20.9% |
| New Mexico | 11.3 | 6.7 | 18.2 | 9.8 | 13.2% | 13.8% |
| Boise State | 9.6 | 8.4 | 15.7 | 12.3 | 5.2% | 5.5% |
| UNLV | 9.1 | 8.9 | 15.9 | 14.1 | 3.9% | 11.5% |
| Fresno St | 8.9 | 9.1 | 16.4 | 13.6 | 3.7% | 4.7% |
| Wyoming | 7.8 | 10.2 | 14.7 | 15.3 | 1.6% | 2.3% |
| Colorado St | 7.5 | 10.5 | 15.3 | 15.7 | 1.3% | 2.5% |
| Utah State | 7.3 | 10.7 | 14.1 | 14.9 | 1.7% | 2.6% |
| Air Force | 6.5 | 11.5 | 14.3 | 15.7 | 0.8% | 1.4% |
| San Jose St | 3.9 | 14.1 | 9.1 | 19.9 | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Northeast Projected Standings | Conference | Overall | Conference Odds | |||
| Team | W | L | W | L | Reg | Tourn |
| Wagner | 13.2 | 4.8 | 18.0 | 10.0 | 38.0% | 35.3% |
| F Dickinson | 10.9 | 7.1 | 14.0 | 15.0 | 16.1% | 15.8% |
| Mt St Marys | 10.4 | 7.6 | 13.3 | 16.7 | 12.4% | 12.6% |
| Rob Morris | 9.6 | 8.4 | 12.5 | 17.5 | 8.5% | 9.1% |
| Bryant | 9.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | 18.0 | 7.0% | 7.4% |
| LIU-Brooklyn | 8.7 | 9.3 | 13.6 | 17.4 | 6.1% | 6.4% |
| St Fran (NY) | 8.5 | 9.5 | 12.3 | 17.7 | 4.7% | 5.3% |
| Sacred Hrt | 7.8 | 10.2 | 10.9 | 19.1 | 3.8% | 4.2% |
| St Fran (PA) | 7.4 | 10.6 | 10.4 | 18.6 | 3.0% | 3.5% |
| Central Conn | 4.5 | 13.5 | 6.0 | 23.0 | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Ohio Valley Projected Standings | Conference | Overall | Conference Odds | |||
| East | W | L | W | L | Reg | Tourn |
| Belmont | 12.9 | 3.1 | 20.0 | 8.0 | 40.5% | 40.0% |
| Morehead St | 10.0 | 6.0 | 17.1 | 11.9 | 11.9% | 12.1% |
| TN State | 8.7 | 7.3 | 15.1 | 13.9 | 5.2% | 6.4% |
| E Kentucky | 7.9 | 8.1 | 13.4 | 16.6 | 2.9% | 4.2% |
| TN Tech | 7.0 | 9.0 | 13.8 | 17.2 | 2.1% | 2.8% |
| Jksnville St | Conference | 10.8 | Overall | 20.6 | Conference Odds | 1.0% |
| West | W | L | W | L | Reg | Tourn |
| Murray St | 12.2 | 3.8 | 20.7 | 9.3 | 30.5% | 25.1% |
| Austin Peay | 6.9 | 9.1 | 12.0 | 18.0 | 2.0% | 2.3% |
| E Illinois | 6.9 | 9.1 | 12.8 | 16.2 | 1.6% | 2.0% |
| SIU Edward | 6.6 | 9.4 | 11.6 | 18.4 | 1.0% | 1.7% |
| TN Martin | 6.6 | 9.4 | 13.1 | 17.9 | 1.2% | 1.7% |
| SE Missouri | 5.1 | 10.9 | 10.7 | 19.3 | 0.3% | 0.6% |
| Pac-12 Projected Standings | Conference | Overall | Conference Odds | |||
| Team | W | L | W | L | Reg | Tourn |
| Oregon | 13.8 | 4.2 | 23.7 | 5.3 | 35.9% | 28.9% |
| Arizona | 13.4 | 4.6 | 23.8 | 6.2 | 25.9% | 24.5% |
| UCLA | 12.0 | 6.0 | 21.2 | 7.8 | 15.1% | 14.9% |
| California | 11.4 | 6.6 | 21.4 | 8.6 | 11.8% | 13.5% |
| Colorado | 8.6 | 9.4 | 17.7 | 12.3 | 2.7% | 3.5% |
| Arizona St | 8.0 | 10.0 | 15.3 | 13.7 | 1.6% | 3.0% |
| Utah | 7.8 | 10.2 | 16.0 | 12.0 | 1.4% | 2.5% |
| USC | 7.8 | 10.2 | 16.9 | 13.1 | 1.8% | 2.8% |
| Stanford | 7.7 | 10.3 | 13.9 | 14.1 | 1.7% | 2.9% |
| Washington | 7.4 | 10.6 | 15.0 | 14.0 | 1.3% | 2.0% |
| Oregon St | 6.4 | 11.6 | 16.0 | 15.0 | 0.7% | 1.5% |
| Wash State | 3.6 | 14.4 | 10.4 | 17.6 | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Patriot Projected Standings | Conference | Overall | Conference Odds | |||
| Team | W | L | W | L | Reg | Tourn |
| Lehigh | 13.2 | 4.8 | 18.9 | 10.1 | 36.7% | 33.6% |
| Bucknell | 12.0 | 6.0 | 17.0 | 13.0 | 21.6% | 21.8% |
| Boston U | 11.0 | 7.0 | 16.9 | 13.1 | 14.8% | 14.4% |
| Holy Cross | 10.3 | 7.7 | 15.5 | 15.5 | 10.2% | 10.9% |
| Colgate | 9.1 | 8.9 | 14.4 | 16.6 | 6.3% | 7.1% |
| Navy | 8.6 | 9.4 | 14.0 | 16.0 | 4.5% | 5.1% |
| American | 6.8 | 11.2 | 10.5 | 18.5 | 2.1% | 2.3% |
| Loyola-MD | 6.8 | 11.2 | 10.7 | 18.3 | 1.5% | 2.0% |
| Army | 6.1 | 11.9 | 10.1 | 18.9 | 1.0% | 1.4% |
| Lafayette | 6.1 | 11.9 | 9.7 | 19.3 | 1.2% | 1.5% |
| SEC Projected Standings | Conference | Overall | Conference Odds | |||
| Team | W | L | W | L | Reg | Tourn |
| Kentucky | 14.5 | 3.5 | 24.9 | 6.1 | 46.4% | 38.1% |
| Florida | 11.7 | 6.3 | 19.3 | 9.7 | 14.4% | 15.1% |
| Texas A&M | 11.3 | 6.7 | 19.5 | 8.5 | 11.4% | 11.7% |
| Vanderbilt | 10.3 | 7.7 | 18.9 | 11.1 | 6.7% | 8.6% |
| Alabama | 9.4 | 8.6 | 16.8 | 12.2 | 4.6% | 4.3% |
| Arkansas | 9.2 | 8.8 | 18.8 | 12.2 | 3.6% | 4.8% |
| Georgia | 8.6 | 9.4 | 17.2 | 12.8 | 2.9% | 4.1% |
| Mississippi | 8.5 | 9.5 | 16.6 | 12.4 | 2.0% | 2.5% |
| Auburn | 8.4 | 9.6 | 16.1 | 13.9 | 1.8% | 2.5% |
| S Carolina | 8.3 | 9.7 | 16.8 | 14.2 | 1.8% | 2.8% |
| Miss State | 8.2 | 9.8 | 16.5 | 11.5 | 2.5% | 2.6% |
| LSU | 6.9 | 11.1 | 13.5 | 14.5 | 1.2% | 1.5% |
| Tennessee | 6.1 | 11.9 | 12.5 | 16.5 | 0.6% | 0.9% |
| Missouri | 4.4 | 13.6 | 10.6 | 17.4 | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Southern Projected Standings | Conference | Overall | Conference Odds | |||
| Team | W | L | W | L | Reg | Tourn |
| Chattanooga | 13.6 | 4.4 | 20.9 | 8.1 | 40.8% | 32.6% |
| Mercer | 11.2 | 6.8 | 17.3 | 12.7 | 14.8% | 15.2% |
| E Tenn St | 10.7 | 7.3 | 17.2 | 13.8 | 11.7% | 12.6% |
| NC-Grnsboro | 10.5 | 7.5 | 18.3 | 12.7 | 11.0% | 11.9% |
| Wofford | 10.2 | 7.8 | 15.2 | 13.8 | 10.0% | 10.8% |
| Furman | 9.2 | 8.8 | 15.7 | 15.3 | 6.0% | 7.4% |
| Samford | 7.9 | 10.1 | 14.7 | 16.3 | 3.2% | 4.3% |
| W Carolina | 6.6 | 11.4 | 11.0 | 20.0 | 1.4% | 2.5% |
| VA Military | 6.5 | 11.5 | 10.3 | 17.7 | 1.0% | 2.3% |
| Citadel | 3.6 | 14.4 | 8.8 | 22.2 | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Southland Projected Standings | Conference | Overall | Conference Odds | |||
| Team | W | L | W | L | Reg | Tourn |
| Ste F Austin | 14.9 | 3.1 | 21.4 | 6.6 | 45.8% | 42.0% |
| Sam Hous St | 14.3 | 3.7 | 22.6 | 8.4 | 32.6% | 31.5% |
| TX A&M-CC | 11.8 | 6.2 | 18.3 | 10.7 | 8.8% | 11.4% |
| NW State | 9.2 | 8.8 | 14.1 | 14.9 | 3.0% | 3.5% |
| New Orleans | 9.1 | 8.9 | 13.3 | 15.7 | 2.8% | 3.2% |
| SE Louisiana | 8.6 | 9.4 | 13.8 | 17.2 | 1.9% | 2.3% |
| Houston Bap | 8.1 | 9.9 | 12.7 | 16.3 | 1.1% | 2.1% |
| Incarnate Word | 7.7 | 10.3 | 13.0 | 16.0 | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholls St | 7.4 | 10.6 | 12.3 | 18.7 | 0.6% | 1.1% |
| Lamar | 7.0 | 11.0 | 13.6 | 17.4 | 0.6% | 1.1% |
| McNeese St | 6.6 | 11.4 | 10.6 | 18.4 | 0.8% | 1.1% |
| Central Ark | 6.3 | 11.7 | 7.4 | 22.6 | 0.4% | 0.7% |
| Abilene Christian | 6.1 | 11.9 | 11.0 | 18.0 | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| SWAC Projected Standings | Conference | Overall | Conference Odds | |||
| Team | W | L | W | L | Reg | Tourn |
| TX Southern | 12.9 | 5.1 | 14.8 | 16.2 | 31.4% | 27.5% |
| Jackson St | 12.2 | 5.8 | 18.2 | 12.8 | 24.7% | 22.5% |
| Southern | 11.9 | 6.1 | 17.7 | 13.3 | 21.8% | 20.0% |
| Alabama St | 9.8 | 8.2 | 13.0 | 16.0 | 9.1% | 10.3% |
| Grambling St | 7.8 | 10.2 | 12.4 | 17.6 | 3.2% | 4.8% |
| Prairie View | 7.7 | 10.3 | 11.1 | 20.9 | 2.7% | 4.6% |
| Ark Pine Bl | 7.2 | 10.8 | 9.0 | 22.0 | 1.9% | 3.5% |
| Miss Val St | 7.1 | 10.9 | 8.0 | 23.0 | 2.1% | 3.6% |
| Alab A&M | 6.8 | 11.2 | 7.7 | 21.3 | 1.6% | 3.2% |
| Alcorn State | 6.6 | 11.4 | 9.9 | 19.1 | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Summit Projected Standings | Conference | Overall | Conference Odds | |||
| Team | W | L | W | L | Reg | Tourn |
| N Dakota St | 10.8 | 5.2 | 19.9 | 9.1 | 28.4% | 24.4% |
| S Dakota St | 10.7 | 5.3 | 19.5 | 11.5 | 26.7% | 23.5% |
| IPFW | 9.1 | 6.9 | 17.9 | 12.1 | 13.4% | 13.4% |
| Neb Omaha | 9.0 | 7.0 | 14.5 | 14.5 | 12.6% | 13.2% |
| Denver | 7.7 | 8.3 | 14.8 | 14.2 | 6.2% | 7.7% |
| IUPUI | 7.3 | 8.7 | 13.0 | 16.0 | 5.4% | 6.8% |
| Oral Roberts | 6.7 | 9.3 | 10.6 | 17.4 | 4.2% | 5.5% |
| W Illinois | 5.8 | 10.2 | 11.9 | 15.1 | 2.1% | 3.5% |
| South Dakota | 4.8 | 11.2 | 10.3 | 18.7 | 1.0% | 2.1% |
| Sun Belt Projected Standings | Conference | Overall | Conference Odds | |||
| Team | W | L | W | L | Reg | Tourn |
| TX-Arlington | 14.8 | 3.2 | 23.2 | 7.8 | 49.0% | 38.5% |
| AR Lit Rock | 12.5 | 5.5 | 22.0 | 9.0 | 18.4% | 17.0% |
| GA Southern | 11.3 | 6.7 | 18.5 | 12.5 | 10.3% | 11.2% |
| Georgia St | 10.9 | 7.1 | 16.9 | 12.1 | 8.6% | 9.8% |
| LA Lafayette | 10.2 | 7.8 | 18.6 | 12.4 | 6.9% | 9.0% |
| LA Monroe | 8.0 | 10.0 | 14.5 | 15.5 | 2.1% | 3.8% |
| S Alabama | 7.8 | 10.2 | 15.2 | 15.8 | 1.3% | 3.0% |
| Coastal Car | 7.6 | 10.4 | 14.3 | 16.7 | 1.5% | 2.6% |
| Troy | 6.9 | 11.1 | 13.7 | 17.3 | 1.0% | 2.0% |
| Arkansas St | 6.5 | 11.5 | 10.9 | 19.1 | 0.4% | 1.2% |
| Texas State | 6.5 | 11.5 | 13.4 | 16.6 | 0.5% | 1.3% |
| App State | 4.9 | 13.1 | 9.2 | 19.8 | 0.1% | 0.6% |
| WCC Projected Standings | Conference | Overall | Conference Odds | |||
| Team | W | L | W | L | Reg | Tourn |
| Gonzaga | 15.4 | 2.6 | 24.1 | 3.9 | 47.1% | 42.7% |
| St Marys | 15.0 | 3.0 | 24.2 | 4.8 | 40.0% | 36.4% |
| BYU | 12.5 | 5.5 | 21.8 | 8.2 | 9.5% | 12.4% |
| Pepperdine | 9.2 | 8.8 | 15.9 | 14.1 | 1.7% | 3.1% |
| Pacific | 7.9 | 10.1 | 15.3 | 15.7 | 0.6% | 1.7% |
| Santa Clara | 7.9 | 10.1 | 15.7 | 14.3 | 0.6% | 1.6% |
| Portland | 7.1 | 10.9 | 13.2 | 15.8 | 0.3% | 1.1% |
| Loyola Mymt | 6.0 | 12.0 | 11.8 | 17.2 | 0.1% | 0.6% |
| San Diego | 4.6 | 13.4 | 10.3 | 19.7 | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| San Fransco | 4.5 | 13.5 | 11.1 | 17.9 | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| WAC Projected Standings | Conference | Overall | Conference Odds | |||
| Team | W | L | W | L | Reg | Tourn |
| N Mex State | 10.9 | 3.1 | 22.5 | 7.5 | 41.8% | 45.1% |
| CS Bakersfld | 10.0 | 4.0 | 19.0 | 10.0 | 26.9% | 31.5% |
| Grand Canyon | 9.4 | 4.6 | 20.0 | 11.0 | 19.7% | 0.0% |
| UMKC | 7.5 | 6.5 | 15.7 | 15.3 | 6.2% | 11.4% |
| Seattle | 6.4 | 7.6 | 13.0 | 14.0 | 3.5% | 6.6% |
| Utah Val St | 4.9 | 9.1 | 10.9 | 18.1 | 1.3% | 3.1% |
| Chicago St | 3.7 | 10.3 | 6.1 | 21.9 | 0.4% | 1.3% |
| TX-Pan Am | 3.2 | 10.8 | 8.9 | 21.1 | 0.2% | 0.9% |
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