NFL Sundays are something. NFL Sundays invested in the Same Game Parlay (SGP) market are something else. NFL Week 2 is here, and we’re ready to cover every game from a betting perspective once again.
Here are my favorite SGPs for the Sunday slate:
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NFL Week 2 Same Game Parlay Odds, Picks & Predictions
(Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)
Chiefs @ Jaguars
- Leg 1: Jaguars +3.5 (-110)
- Leg 2: Calvin Ridley 75+ Receiving Yards (+100)
- Leg 3: Tank Bigsby Anytime TD (+265)
This is probably the most interesting game of the early slate. Jacksonville comes in off a road win in Indianapolis, while the Chiefs are looking for their first win after dropping their home opener to the Lions. The Chiefs are expecting Travis Kelce back, and Chris Jones will play after ending his holdout, but I think the Jaguars will take this game at home. Jacksonville closed last week’s game strong, managing a 10-point win despite some rough execution and strange turnovers through the first three quarters. I think Chris Jones’ impact may not be immediate, as he missed training camp and Week 1, and I would be surprised if Kelce is 100% healthy for this game.
Tank Bigsby Anytime TD was a leg of last week’s Jaguars SGP, and it hit, as he converted one of his two carries inside the five-yard line. Bigsby got solid usage last week, and I expect that to persist this week. Calvin Ridley also played a strong game last week, totaling eight catches on 11 targets for 108 yards. I think the Jaguars will throw plenty, and the Chiefs’ defense allowed a big game to Amon-Ra St. Brown last week. Ridley’s yardage prop should cash.
Parlay Odds: +900
Seahawks @ Lions
- Leg 1: O47.5 (-110)
- Leg 2: Jaxon Smith-Njigba 50+ Receiving Yards (+160)
- Leg 3: Sam LaPorta 25+ Receiving Yards (-250)
This will be a fun matchup. Seattle is desperate for a win after dropping a home game to the Rams last week, while Detroit is looking to move to 2-0 after pulling off an upset in Kansas City. I expect the Seahawks’ offense to improve on last week’s poor performance and Detroit to stay hot against the Seahawks’ struggling defense. These teams combined for 93 points when they met last year, and I think they’ll go over the 47.5-point total this week.
Both teams showed signs of getting their rookies integrated last week. Jaxon Smith-Njigba posted a modest stat line (three catches, 11 yards) but was targeted five times. With his talent level and the fact that Tyler Lockett will be playing through an injury this week, I think he’s got a good chance at 50+ receiving yards. On the Lions’ side, Sam LaPorta had a solid debut last week with five catches for 39 yards. He should get more opportunities this week against a Seattle defense that allowed 49 yards on three catches to Tyler Higbee last week. LaPorta to go over 25 receiving yards is a safe play.
Parlay Odds: +430
Raiders @ Bills
- Leg 1: Bills -8.5 (-110)
- Leg 2: Davante Adams 75+ Receiving Yards (-130)
- Leg 3: Dalton Kincaid 25+ Receiving Yards (-195)
Buffalo failed to take advantage of Aaron Rodgers’ unfortunate injury last week, as Josh Allen played a sloppy game, and they fell to the Jets in overtime. I expect Buffalo to rebound this week with their backs against the wall to avoid an 0-2 start. Despite the Raiders pulling off a surprising win in Denver last week, they don’t have the roster to keep up with the Bills’ talent. I think Buffalo wins big and covers the 8.5-point spread.
Although Davante Adams had a quiet Week 1 by his high standards (six catches, 66 yards), he should have an easier matchup relative to Broncos’ star CB Pat Surtain. This, combined with a game script that should keep the Raiders throwing, will be enough for him to go over 75 receiving yards. Dalton Kincaid had a solid debut with four catches for 26 yards, and I think the Bills will continue to go his way this week. 25+ receiving yards should be doable once again for Kincaid.
Parlay Odds: +410
Ravens @ Bengals
- Leg 1: Bengals ML (-165)
- Leg 2: Tee Higgins 50+ Receiving Yards (-195)
- Leg 3: Zay Flowers O3.5 Receptions (-125)
After a sloppy loss in Week 1, Cincinnati is another Super Bowl hopeful trying to get back on track in Week 2. They’ll host the Ravens, who beat the Texans soundly in Week 1. While the Ravens come in at 1-0, the Bengals are the better team, and I think they’ll avoid an 0-2 start with a home win. I expect Tee Higgins to be heavily involved in this win. Higgins putting up zero catches in Week 1 was one of the most surprising stat lines of the week, especially given his eight targets. If Higgins sees that much opportunity this week, he should go well over 50 receiving yards.
Zay Flowers was one of the best rookies in the league in Week 1, as he tallied 78 receiving yards on nine receptions (10 targets). Even with the return of Mark Andrews, it’s clear Flowers is a key part of the Ravens’ offense. Flowers should see plenty of targets, especially in a game they’ll trail. O3.5 receptions for Flowers is one of my favorite props of the week.
Parlay Odds: +320
Chargers @ Titans
- Leg 1: Chargers ML (-140)
- Leg 2: Joshua Kelley U54.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
- Leg 3: Derrick Henry U16.5 Receiving Yards (-120)
Both of these teams are 0-1 and will be desperate for a win to avoid falling into a 2-game hole to start the season. Los Angeles lost a tough game to the Dolphins last week in a contest where Justin Herbert was solid but not spectacular. I think Herbert improves on last week’s performance and wins in Tennessee. Joshua Kelley was a key part of the offense last week after Austin Ekeler got hurt. Kelley posted 91 rushing yards on 16 carries. However, Tennessee’s run defense is exceptional, and I don’t think Kelley will go over his 54.5-yard total this week. The Titans allowed just 2.5 yards per carry to Jamaal Williams last week, and I expect Kelley to struggle similarly.
Offensively for the Titans last week, one of the storylines was rookie Tyjae Spears out-snapping superstar RB Derrick Henry. Henry saw 15 carries and added two catches for 56 receiving yards. He did only see three targets, however, and 46 of his yards came on one long play. I think Henry will have a much quieter day in the passing game, and will go under 16.5 receiving yards.
Parlay Odds: +800
Bears @ Buccaneers
- Leg 1: Buccaneers -2.5 (-120)
- Leg 2: Baker Mayfield O224.5 Passing Yards (-115)
- Leg 3: Roschon Johnson Anytime TD (+450)
This is the longest shot of the week, but I think there’s serious value here. Coming into the season, many thought the Buccaneers were on the front end of a rebuild. Baker Mayfield surprised many last week by leading Tampa Bay to a road win in Minnesota last week, and the Buccaneers are now favored to start the season 2-0. While Mayfield didn’t put up a huge game in the air (173 passing yards), I expect him to have a nice day against a Bears defense that allowed 245 passing yards to Jordan Love last week. Given the Bears’ struggles and the fact that the Buccaneers may be better than most thought, I like Tampa Bay to win at home in Week 2.
While the Bucs should win the game, Roschon Johnson is wildly underpriced to score a TD. Johnson only got five carries last week, but he did receive two red zone carries. He was the only Bears RB to receive a red zone carry last week. Johnson also added six catches for 35 yards. Given that Johnson appears to be the Bears’ short-yardage back and has opportunities in the passing game, it’s not unlikely that he will score a TD on Sunday. There’s a negative correlation here with the Buccaneers’ leg of the parlay, so we can get some juicy odds with these three valuable plays.
Parlay Odds: +1700
Packers @ Falcons
- Leg 1: Falcons ML (-120)
- Leg 2: Tyler Allgeier Anytime TD (+175)
- Leg 3: Bijan Robinson O2.5 Receptions (-115)
Atlanta took care of business in Week 1, coasting to a 14-point victory at home against Carolina. I think the Falcons will pick up where they left off last week and win at home. Green Bay may be a surprising team this year, but given how poorly the Bears played last week, I don’t expect them to stay hot in Atlanta.
Speaking of picking up where they left off, Arthur Smith continues to be a nightmare for fantasy football managers, as Tyler Allegeier got 15 carries last week. These included two short-yardage carries that were converted for TDs. Given that Allegeier appears to be the short yardage back in Atlanta, I like his odds to score again at +175. Star rookie RB Bijan Robinson got opportunities to do damage as well, primarily in the passing game. Robinson posted six catches last week, and I think he can easily go over this week’s 2.5-reception line.
Parlay Odds: +600
Colts @ Texans
- Leg 1: Colts ML (+100)
- Leg 2: Anthony Richardson Anytime TD (+145)
- Leg 3: Nico Collins 50+ Receiving Yards (-105)
While Indianapolis didn’t pull off a win last week, they looked more impressive than many expected. They held a fourth-quarter lead over Jacksonville, who is expected to be a serious contender in the AFC this year. QB Anthony Richardson showed enough promise that I think they can win in Houston this week. The Texans were outmatched in Baltimore last week and are on track to be one of the worst teams in the NFL this year.
Richardson posted a big game both through the air and on the ground last week. He carried the ball 10 times for 40 yards and a TD, including four carries inside the opponents’ 20-yard line. He should have more chances to get in the end zone this week. When Houston is on offense, I think Nico Collins can do some damage. Texans’ QB CJ Stroud targeted his WRs frequently last week, leading to six catches for 80 yards for Collins, his No. 1 target. Indianapolis allowed a monster game to Jaguars WR Calvin Ridley last week, and I think Collins can exploit the Colts’ defense similarly.
Parlay Odds: +575
49ers @ Rams
- Leg 1: 49ers -5.5 (-160)
- Leg 2: Puka Nacua U44.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
- Leg 3: Christian McCaffrey O67.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
These teams exceeded expectations last week, putting up huge road wins in Week 1. While both teams impressed, I think the 49ers’ performance is more likely to be replicated in Week 2. They dominated from wire-to-wire over a solid Steelers team, behind 152 yards on 22 carries from Christian McCaffrey. I think McCaffrey posts another huge game on the ground, and the 49ers soundly beat the Rams.
Puka Nacua was the hot fantasy football waiver wire name after Week 1, with 10 catches on 15 targets for 119 yards. Nacua was very impressive in Week 1, but I expect him to come back down to earth against the 49ers. San Francisco has a much better defense than Seattle, and Nacua will be battling an oblique injury on Sunday. Given some mean reversion on target share, a tougher defense and his injury, Nacua is unlikely to post a second big game this week.
Parlay Odds: +335
Giants @ Cardinals
- Leg 1: Giants ML (-205)
- Leg 2: Daniel Jones 50+ Rushing Yards (+230)
- Leg 3: Darren Waller U44.5 Receiving Yards (-105)
Both these teams are coming off losses in Week 1. Arizona surprised some (myself included) by covering on the road in Washington and nearly pulling off an upset victory. The Giants also surprised me last week but for all the wrong reasons. They put up an unmitigated disaster of a game last week, losing 40-0 to Dallas in a game that somehow wasn’t as even as close as that score would suggest.
New York was hugely disappointing last week, but this is a good time to buy low on the Giants. They are superior to the Cardinals top to bottom. Daniel Jones ran a ton last week as the Giants’ O-line fell apart, posting 13 carries for 43 yards. I think he can replicate a big rushing day this week, and I love the value in 50+ rushing yards at +230. In the passing game, new Giants TE Darren Waller had a bit of a disappointing game last week. He posted three catches for 36 yards in a game that the Giants trailed the entire time. I think a game script that will favor the run game, combined with an injured hamstring for Waller, will keep his stat line quiet for a second-straight week.
Parlay Odds: +600
Jets @ Cowboys
- Leg 1: Jets +9 (-110)
- Leg 2: Tony Pollard Anytime TD (-145)
- Leg 3: Garrett Wilson O4.5 Receptions (+115)
While now might be a good time to buy low on the Giants, it also may be a good time to sell high on the Cowboys. Dallas rolled last week, but I don’t think they’ll have quite as easy a time this week. The Jets overcame a brutal injury to Rodgers last week to pull off a win over the Bills, with some help from Josh Allen and his four turnovers. While the Jets starting QB Zach Wilson isn’t exactly an ideal scenario for their offense, the roster around him should keep them competitive in most games this year. I think the Jets cover on the road.
Even with the Jets likely to keep things close, Tony Pollard can get in the end zone. Pollard carried the ball 14 times for 70 yards and two TDs last week and could have posted a bigger game if the Cowboys needed more carries from him in the second half. Pollard carried the ball six times for 15 yards in the red zone and is clearly Dallas’ bell cow RB. He should have more scoring opportunities this week.
Garrett Wilson put up five catches for 34 yards and an incredible TD last week, and I think he should post a better game this week. Zach Wilson is an obvious downgrade at QB, but Garrett Wilson could post a good stat line regardless of the quarterback. In a game with flow that should favor more Jets passing attempts, I love Wilson to post at least five catches again.
Parlay Odds: +625
Commanders @ Broncos
- Leg 1: Under 38.5 (-105)
- Leg 2: Samaje Perine O31.5 Rushing Yards (-120)
- Leg 3: Jahan Dotson 50+ Receiving Yards (+110)
Neither of these teams inspired much confidence on offense last week. Washington struggled at home against a weak Cardinals defense and posted 20 points in Week 1. Denver, on the other hand, suffered a tough loss to the Raiders in a game where they posted just 16 points. These teams’ offensive struggles, combined with their strong defenses, should leave this game with a total under 38.5 points.
Samaje Perine played well for the Broncos last week, posting 41 yards on eight carries. I wouldn’t be surprised if he sees similar volume this week and goes over his low rushing yardage total of 31.5 yards. Defensively, the Broncos struggled to contain the Raiders’ No. 2 WR Jakobi Meyers last week, as the attention of superstar CB Patrick Surtain Jr. was squarely on Davante Adams. If the Broncos employ a similar strategy this week, the beneficiary will be Commanders WR Jahan Dotson. With Surtain Jr. lined up against Washington’s top threat, Terry McLaurin, Dotson can post a nice game.
Parlay Odds: +750
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