UFC 303 Odds, Picks & Predictions: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2, Ortega vs Lopes & More

Apr 13, 2024; Las Vegas, Nevada, USA; Alex Pereira celebrates after defeating Jamahal Hill (not pictured) during UFC 300 at T-Mobile Arena. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY SportsUFC 303: Pereira vs Prochazka 2 takes place on June 29, 2024, in Las VegasMain event: Alex Pereira vs Jiri Prochazka; Co-main: Brian Ortega vs Diego LopesRead below for full UFC 303 odds, predictions, picks & viewing guide

The Octagon returns to the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas on Saturday, June 29, for UFC 303. This stacked card is headlined by a light heavyweight title rematch between Alex Pereira and Jiri Prochazka.

The main card kicks off at 10 p.m. ET / 7 p.m. PT, with prelims starting at 6 p.m. ET on ESPN+. Fans can order the PPV on ESPN+ or through their cable provider.

Let’s dive into the top fights and look at the UFC betting odds to see where the value lies.

UFC 303 Odds – Main Card

In the UFC 303 main card odds, there are no massive favorites, with Ian Machado Garry having the shortest odds at -135 in his bout with Michael Page.

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UFC 303 odds as of June. 27, at DraftKings Sportsbook. Browse the available sportsbook promotions for UFC 303 on Saturday. 

Alex Pereira vs Jiri Prochazka Prediction

The main event of UFC 303 is a rematch that fight fans have been clamoring for since their first meeting at UFC 295. Alex Pereira (10-2) won the light heavyweight title with a second-round TKO over Jiri Prochazka, but the stoppage was controversial. Pereira now aims to prove himself as the best 205-pounder.

Pereira’s 62% striking accuracy and one-punch knockout power make him a formidable opponent. His skills have transitioned well from middleweight to light heavyweight, and he’s confident after defeating Jamahal Hill at UFC 300. However, his defensive grappling is a potential weakness Prochazka might exploit.

⚡️ A compilation of every Alex Pereira KO in the UFC

pic.twitter.com/mmt3fOyO2f

— Home of Fight (@Home_of_Fight) June 26, 2024

Jiri Prochazka (30-4-1), known for his unorthodox striking, needs a more tactical approach in the rematch. With a reach advantage, he could mix in takedowns to keep Pereira off balance. Prochazka’s cardio and durability are strengths, allowing him to withstand early attacks and finish strong.

While Prochazka has the tools to make this a more competitive fight, Pereira’s striking prowess and knockout power give him the edge. Look for the champion to land a fight-ending shot in the middle rounds and retain his title in impressive fashion.

Pereira to Win by TKO/KO (+150)

Brian Ortega vs Diego Lopes Pick

The co-main event features a featherweight clash between perennial contender Brian Ortega and rising star Diego Lopes. Ortega (16-3) is looking to bounce back after a loss to Yair Rodriguez, while Lopes (15-2) aims to continue his impressive run of three straight first-round finishes.

Ortega is known for his slick jiu-jitsu and never-say-die attitude, but he’s taken a lot of damage in his recent fights. The California native has been stopped in three of his last four bouts, raising concerns about his durability. However, if Ortega can get this fight to the ground, he has a clear advantage with his submission skills.

Can never forget when Brian Ortega had Alexander Volkanovski in one of the tightest submission attempts ever🫣

pic.twitter.com/J7ssgEkcKT

— Home of Fight (@Home_of_Fight) June 26, 2024

Lopes, on the other hand, has been on a tear since joining the UFC. The Brazilian has finished all three of his Octagon opponents in the first round, showcasing his striking power and killer instinct. Lopes will look to keep this fight standing and pick apart Ortega with his technical striking.

This fight will likely come down to where it takes place. Ortega has a clear advantage on the ground with his slick jiu-jitsu, but Lopes’ striking and power could be the difference-maker if he keeps the fight standing. At these odds, Lopes is worth a look as a slight favorite.

Lopes to Win (-148)

Anthony Smith vs Roman Dolidze Prediction

Light heavyweight contenders Anthony Smith and Roman Dolidze square off in a short-notice bout with title implications. Smith (37-17) is a former title challenger who has proven to be a tough out for anyone in the division. Dolidze (12-1) is a rising prospect looking to make a statement against his most high-profile opponent to date.

Smith’s experience and well-rounded skillset give him an edge in this matchup. He’s fought the who’s who of the light heavyweight division and has shown the ability to finish fights both on the feet and on the ground. Smith’s submission skills, in particular, could be a factor if he can get Dolidze to the mat.

The fact Anthony Smith didn't take the win, and carried on until the final bell deserves a lot of respect! #UFC303 pic.twitter.com/tkzrTF2XvE

— Mixed Martial Aus 🇦🇺 (@MixedMartialAus) June 27, 2024

Dolidze, meanwhile, is a dangerous finisher in his own right. The Georgian has won six of his last seven fights by stoppage, showcasing his power and grappling prowess. Dolidze will look to keep the fight standing and land his heavy hands on Smith’s chin.

This fight could come down to who imposes their will first. If Smith can weather Dolidze’s early storm and take the fight into deep waters, his experience and submission skills could be the difference. At plus money, Smith is worth a look for bettors.

Smith to Win (+120) UFC Betting Sites in 2024Read More

Mayra Bueno Silva vs Macy Chiasson Picks

This bantamweight matchup features two top-10 contenders looking to climb the rankings. Bueno Silva (10-2-1) is coming off a title loss to Raquel Pennington, where she faded badly in the later rounds. The Brazilian will need to pace herself better and utilize her grappling skills to neutralize Chiasson’s striking.

Chiasson (10-3), meanwhile, has won three of her last four fights and looks to be hitting her stride. The former featherweight has a significant size and reach advantage over Bueno Silva, which could be key factors in this competitive matchup.

If Chiasson can keep the fight standing and use her length to pick apart Bueno Silva from the outside, she has a good chance of earning a decision victory. With her size and reach advantage, we’re backing her to prevail on the moneyline at -118.

Chiasson to Win (-118)

Ian Machado Garry vs Michael Page Prediction

Rising welterweight prospect Ian Machado Garry faces his toughest test yet against former Bellator standout Michael “Venom” Page. Garry (11-0) has impressed in the UFC with his striking and grappling skills.

Page (20-2), known for his unorthodox striking and highlight-reel finishes, hasn’t faced top-level UFC competition.

This fight will likely be a striking battle, with both looking to showcase their skills on the feet. Garry’s youth and pressure could be the difference, pushing the pace and forcing Page into uncomfortable positions. However, Page’s mastery of distance and timing could pose problems for Garry.

Despite Page’s experience and striking ability making him a live underdog, Garry’s well-rounded game and relentless pressure should earn him a hard-fought decision victory.

Garry to Win by Decision (+150)

 

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